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Wycombe Wanderers
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2021 at 3pm UK
Adams Park
Luton Town

Wycombe
1 - 3
Luton

Mehmeti (37' pen.)
Mehmeti (56')
Knight (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moncur (80'), LuaLua (85'), Adebayo (88')
Bradley (31')

Preview: Wycombe Wanderers vs. Luton Town - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Wycombe Wanderers play host to Luton Town on Saturday afternoon looking to extend their winning streak in the Championship to three matches.

Although Luton have already reached the 50-point mark, Nathan Jones will want to end a two-match losing streak as soon as possible as the Hatters bid to end an excellent season on a high.


Match preview

Wycombe Wanderers' Ryan Tafazolli celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 13, 2021© Reuters

On a day when his side thrashed rivals Rotherham United on away territory, Gareth Ainsworth would have felt a tinge of disappointment on the coach back to Adams Park after Coventry City's win over Bristol City.

The result at St Andrew's ensured that the Sky Blues remained nine points clear of the Chairboys with a game in hand, effectively cancelling out Wycombe's stunning result at the New York Stadium.

Nevertheless, Ainsworth must treat the result in isolation at a time when his players are producing far above what was expected of them after a difficult campaign in the Championship.

Ainsworth will feel that five wins are required from their last six games to have a chance to avoiding the drop, a daunting ask given the level of opposition which awaits them.

However, as well as scoring three goals in a match for just the third time this season, Wycombe have now kept four clean sheets in five games.

Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured in December 2020© Reuters

From Luton's perspective, it is only natural that motivation may be lacking after all-but-securing survival with six matches to spare.

Jones has worked wonders to take the club from near-relegation certainties when he arrived to a team which now seems capable of establishing themselves in mid-table.

However, the Welshman will be aware that a disappointing end to the campaign could linger ahead of next season, leaving him under pressure to lift a group of players which have lost four of their last six games.

On a positive note, Luton have conceded just five times in as many matches, a strong defensive record making up for their lack of goals in the final third.

Wycombe Wanderers Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Luton Town Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Wycombe Wanderers manager Gareth Ainsworth pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Ainsworth has revealed that Dominic Gape will again miss out with the calf injury which he sustained at the beginning of the month.

However, Joe Jacobson is expected to keep his place at left-back, despite being forced off through injury during the first half at Rotherham.

David Wheeler could take the place of Anis Mehmeti after scoring as a substitute at the New York Stadium.

James Collins will almost certainly return to the Luton team, taking the place of Sam Nombe who made his first Championship start versus Barnsley.

With Jones promising to be "ruthless" with his team selection going forward, Sonny Bradley, Harry Cornick, Luke Berry and Kazenga LuaLua may all be handed recalls.

Wycombe Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Stockdale; McCarthy, Grimmer, Knight, Jacobson; Adeniran, Thompson; Muskwe, Wheeler, Onyedinma; Ikpeazu

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Bree, Pearson, Naismith, Cranie; Mpanzu, Rea, Dewsbury-Hall; Cornick, Collins, LuaLua


SM words green background

We say: Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 Luton Town

Despite their respective league positions, we can only back Wycombe to prevail on Saturday afternoon. Ainsworth will throw caution to the wind, and his team are currently playing with the confidence to produce some quality in the final third.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Wycombe vs Luton

Wycombe Wanderers
54.5%
Draw
18.2%
Luton Town
27.3%
33
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Wycombe Wanderers manager Gareth Ainsworth pictured in February 2021
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Tables header RHS
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14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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