Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 41.46%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 28.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Paraguay in this match.