World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2020 at 12.30am UK

colombia

Colombia
3 - 0
Venezuela

Zapata (16'), Muriel (26', 45+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Herrera (4'), Angel (67'), Rosales (71')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Colombia and Venezuela.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Venezuela
41.43%	27.24%	31.33%

Both teams to score 49.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.94%

56.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86%

77.14%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35%

26.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1%

61.9%

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.13%

32.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.56%

69.44%

Score Analysis

Colombia 41.42%

Venezuela 31.34%

Draw 27.23%

Colombia	Draw	Venezuela
1-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.42%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.34%