World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round

Mar 25, 2021 at 12am UK

Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores

Guatemala
1 - 0
Cuba

Martinez (59')
Yanes (25')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cavafe (7'), Piedra (78')
Espino (61')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Guatemala and Cuba.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 98.69%. A draw had a probability of 1.1% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 0.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 5-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.28%) and 6-0 (12.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (0.52%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (0.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Cuba
98.69%	1.12%	0.2%

Both teams to score 21.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

91.29%

8.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

79.88%

20.13%

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

99.5%

0.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

96.81%

3.19%

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

22.05%

77.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

2.63%

97.37%

Score Analysis

Guatemala 98.67%

Cuba 0.2%

Draw 1.12%

Guatemala	Draw	Cuba
5-0 @ 14.17% 4-0 @ 13.28% 6-0 @ 12.61% 3-0 @ 9.95% 7-0 @ 9.62% 8-0 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 5.59% 9-0 @ 3.81% 5-1 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 3.31% 6-1 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 2.48% 7-1 @ 2.4% 1-0 @ 2.1% 8-1 @ 1.6% 2-1 @ 1.39% 9-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.33% Total : 98.67%	Other @ 1.12% Total : 1.12%	Other @ 0.2% Total : 0.2%