Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 0-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 2-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.