MX23RW : Monday, November 25 19:04:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
2 - 0
Pontypridd

Bright (14'), McLaggon (29')
Patten (4'), McLaggon (21'), Sainty (22'), Hulbert (52'), Veale (61'), Bright (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Wright (22'), Shepherd (50'), Rees (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Barry
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawPontypridd Town AFC
49.45% (0.843 0.84) 23.03% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 27.52% (-0.749 -0.75)
Both teams to score 60.72% (-0.272 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)40.04% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)62.41% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.59% (0.27200000000001 0.27)16.41% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.93% (0.492 0.49)46.07% (-0.494 -0.49)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (-0.566 -0.57)27.36% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (-0.739 -0.74)62.82% (0.737 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 49.45%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 27.52%
    Draw 23.02%
Barry Town UnitedDrawPontypridd Town AFC
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.165 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 49.45%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.52%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Pontypridd
1-0
Barry
Ahmun (19' pen.)
Vaughan (42'), Ahmun (88')
Vaughan (77')

Sainty (18'), McLaggon (22'), Tomlinson (58'), Hulbert (82'), Cotterill (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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