Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.