Fenix
3 - 4
River Plate

Nequecaur (35'), Pereira (70'), Franco (90+5')
Alfaro (25'), Nunez (67'), Rodriguez (74')
Rodriguez (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Arezo (50', 63'), Boggio (60'), Bone (90+3')
Quintana (86'), Salaberry (90'), Rodriguez (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Fenix and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Fenix	Draw	River Plate
29.61%	28.1%	42.29%

Both teams to score 46.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.27%

59.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.97%

80.03%

Fenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.91%

36.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.13%

72.87%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09%

27.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48%

63.52%

Score Analysis

Fenix 29.6%

River Plate 42.28%

Draw 28.1%

Fenix	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.95% Total : 29.6%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.1%	0-1 @ 12.85% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.76% Total : 42.28%