Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 66.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Vorskla Poltava	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
14.29% ( 0.37)	19.27% ( 0.17)	66.45% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 52.13% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79% (

0.07)

41.21% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.39% (

0.07)

63.61% (

-0.06)

Vorskla Poltava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.92% (

0.57)

41.08% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.37% (

0.5)

77.63% (

-0.5)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.47% (

-0.12)

11.53% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.56% (

-0.27)

36.44% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Vorskla Poltava 14.29%

Shakhtar Donetsk 66.44%

Draw 19.27%

Vorskla Poltava	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.65% Total : 14.29%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.27%	0-2 @ 11.05% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.96% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.81% Total : 66.44%