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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 24
May 3, 2023 at 11am UK
Dnipro Arena
Metal Kharkiv

Dnipro-1
5 - 0
Metal Kharkiv

Peglow (33', 40', 90+4'), Hutsuliak (43'), Pidlepenets (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Priadun (14'), Nikolyshyn (57')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dnipro-1 and Metal Kharkiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inhulets 0-2 Dnipro-1
Saturday, April 29 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Metal Kharkiv 1-3 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, April 28 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Metal Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
Dnipro-1DrawMetal Kharkiv
71.75% (0.432 0.43) 17.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 10.99% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-2.086 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.81% (-1.801 -1.8)40.18% (1.803 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.44% (-1.888 -1.89)62.56% (1.888 1.89)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1% (-0.364 -0.36)9.89% (0.365 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.22% (-0.851 -0.85)32.77% (0.853 0.85)
Metal Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.31% (-2.087 -2.09)45.69% (2.089 2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.52% (-1.685 -1.69)81.48% (1.686 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Dnipro-1 71.74%
    Metal Kharkiv 10.99%
    Draw 17.26%
Dnipro-1DrawMetal Kharkiv
2-0 @ 12.09% (0.62 0.62)
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.685 0.68)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.33% (0.33 0.33)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.39% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.23% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.239 -0.24)
5-0 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.96% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.167 -0.17)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 71.74%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.366 0.37)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.245 -0.25)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 17.26%
0-1 @ 3.54% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 10.99%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 11am
gameweek 9
Metal Kharkiv
0-1
Dnipro-1

Tankovskiy (40')
Kogut (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Kiev17134037112643
2FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya17115126121438
3Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar16103341152633
4Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi169432213931
5Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya177642416827
6Karpaty LvivKarpaty177372221124
7Rukh Lviv175842114723
8Zorya LuhanskLuhansk167181820-222
9Veres174761724-719
10LNZ CherkasyCherkasy175481826-819
11Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka173951112-118
12Vorskla PoltavaVorskla174491525-1016
13Livyi Bereh17449920-1116
14Obolon KyivObolon173591029-1914
15Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets1733111125-1412
16Inhulets161691231-199


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