MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 17:27:12| >> :60:433:433:
Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage
May 21, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Italy U20s
3 - 2
Brazil U20s

Prati (11'), Casadei (27', 35' pen.)
Zanotti (65'), Ghilardi (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Leonardo (72', 87')
Santos (19'), Nascimento (73')
Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Italy Under-20s and Brazil Under-20s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Italy U20s 1-3 England U20s
Thursday, June 8 at 12pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: Brazil U20s 1-0 Colombia U20s
Wednesday, December 4 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Brazil Under-20s had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Brazil Under-20s win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Italy Under-20sDrawBrazil Under-20s
52.93% (0.317 0.32) 26.1% (-0.134 -0.13) 20.97% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 44.24% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.63% (0.267 0.27)58.37% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02% (0.208 0.21)78.98% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Italy Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (0.247 0.25)22.18% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (0.373 0.37)55.58% (-0.379 -0.38)
Brazil Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.85% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)43.15% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58% (-0.038 -0.04)79.41% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Italy Under-20s 52.92%
    Brazil Under-20s 20.97%
    Draw 26.1%
Italy Under-20sDrawBrazil Under-20s
1-0 @ 14.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 52.92%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.38% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.97%

rhs 2.0
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3Chelsea115422113819
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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