MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 07:28:10| >> :60:1431:1431:
Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage
May 21, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Italy U20s
3 - 2
Brazil U20s

Prati (11'), Casadei (27', 35' pen.)
Zanotti (65'), Ghilardi (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Leonardo (72', 87')
Santos (19'), Nascimento (73')
Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Italy Under-20s and Brazil Under-20s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Italy U20s 1-3 England U20s
Thursday, June 8 at 12pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: Brazil U20s 1-0 Colombia U20s
Wednesday, December 4 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Brazil Under-20s had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Brazil Under-20s win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Italy Under-20sDrawBrazil Under-20s
52.93% (0.317 0.32) 26.1% (-0.134 -0.13) 20.97% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 44.24% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.63% (0.267 0.27)58.37% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02% (0.208 0.21)78.98% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Italy Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (0.247 0.25)22.18% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (0.373 0.37)55.58% (-0.379 -0.38)
Brazil Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.85% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)43.15% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58% (-0.038 -0.04)79.41% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Italy Under-20s 52.92%
    Brazil Under-20s 20.97%
    Draw 26.1%
Italy Under-20sDrawBrazil Under-20s
1-0 @ 14.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 52.92%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.38% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.97%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City5410135813
2Liverpool5401101912
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Arsenal532083511
5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!