MX23RW : Friday, December 27 19:13:51| >> :60:202:202:
Under-20s World Cup | Round of 16
Jun 1, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

Gambia U20s
0 - 1
Uruguay U20s


Sanyang (45+1'), Singhateh (82')
Mbye (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duarte (65')
Garcia (38')
Rodriguez (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Under-20 World Cup clash between Gambia Under-20s and Uruguay Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: South Korea U20s 0-0 Gambia U20s
Sunday, May 28 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: Tunisia U20s 0-1 Uruguay U20s
Sunday, May 28 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup

We said: Gambia Under-20s 1-2 Uruguay Under-20s

Despite Gambia's impressive group-stage performances, we expect Uruguay to qualify for the quarter-finals by securing a hard-fought victory over the Young Scorpions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay Under-20s win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Gambia Under-20s had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Gambia Under-20s win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Gambia Under-20sDrawUruguay Under-20s
35.02% (-0.542 -0.54) 24.98% (0.277 0.28) 40.01% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 57.62% (-1.07 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (-1.35 -1.35)45.75% (1.353 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-1.295 -1.3)68.07% (1.298 1.3)
Gambia Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (-0.937 -0.94)25.42% (0.939 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.77% (-1.303 -1.3)60.24% (1.305 1.31)
Uruguay Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (-0.455 -0.45)22.75% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (-0.681 -0.68)56.43% (0.684 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Gambia Under-20s 35.02%
    Uruguay Under-20s 40.01%
    Draw 24.97%
Gambia Under-20sDrawUruguay Under-20s
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.92% (0.241 0.24)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.075 -0.07)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.02%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.326 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.372 0.37)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.192 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.01%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group F vs 2nd Group E

1st ranked Group F
41.2%
Draw
23.5%
2nd Group E
35.3%
17
rhs 2.0
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