Fiorentina will continue their pursuit of European football when they visit mid-table Torino on Monday evening, with the visitors looking to close the gap to fifth-placed Juventus.
Originally scheduled for the weekend, a Covid outbreak meant the fixture was hastily rearranged, and the hosts Torino will be keen to kick 2022 off with a bang.
Match preview
© Reuters
One of the standout sides in this season's Serie A, Fiorentina have excited with their fast-paced, free-flowing football so far.
After arriving from Spezia in the summer, manager Vincenzo Italiano has excelled in his role of Fiorentina boss, winning 10 of his 19 league matches in charge.
Without the distraction of European football this season, Fiorentina have been able to focus all their assets on a blossoming Serie A campaign, and enter the new year on the brink of a return to the continental stage.
Last competing in Europe during the 2016-17 season, Italiano's side currently sit in the Europa Conference League positions, and a win on Monday would have resulted in them climbing into the Europa League positions had Juventus not defeated Roma.
Much of their strong form this season has been down to the performances of star-man Dusan Vlahovic, who has netted 16 goals so far, despite drawing a blank in his last match against Hellas Verona.
Vlahovic has netted in six of his last eight Serie A outings, and the 21-year-old has only failed to score in back-to-back games once this season, suggesting that the Torino defenders could be in for a long afternoon.
Patchy form has plagued Torino's season so far, with the Bulls having won consecutive matches in Serie A only once this term.
Currently hovering around mid-table without the threat of relegation, Ivan Juric will be keen to see his side climb the division in 2022.
© Reuters
Surprisingly, despite their mid-table status, Torino do boast one of the division's shrewdest defences, conceding just 19 times in their 19 matches so far.
Only leaders Inter Milan, third-placed Napoli and European-chasing Juventus have conceded fewer in the top flight, with the Bulls' clear issue being down the other end.
No side outside above 16th have scored fewer goals than Torino's 23, with Juric's side having netted two or more goals only twice this season.
Improving that record against an in-form Fiorentina could prove difficult, not least as Torino are winless in their previous five matches against the Viola.
Slender 2-1 victors the previous time that the pair met this season, Fiorentina will be looking to complete the double over Torino for the first time since 2017-18 on Monday.
- L
- D
- D
- W
- W
- L
- D
- D
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- W
- W
- D
- D
- W
- W
- W
- W
- D
- D
Team News
© Reuters
Much like the rest of Serie A, Torino have been hit by Covid and will be missing two first-team regulars because of the virus.
Defender Cristian Ansaldi has featured nine times for the Bulls this season, whereas Ola Aina will be unable to add to his 15 appearances for the hosts on Monday.
Adding to Juric's team selection woes are a number of injuries to key personnel, with talisman Andrea Belotti absent on Monday with a reoccurring hamstring problem.
Elsewhere, Etrit Berisha and Simone Verdi will not be present in the Torino squad with muscle problems keeping the duo out.
Escaping relatively unscathed from the Covid crisis that has plagued much of Serie A, Fiorentina do not currently boast any Covid infections within their camp, meaning that boss Italiano has close to a full squad to pick from.
Their only absentee is Moroccan midfielder Sofyan Amrabat, who will miss much of January due to his participation in the Africa Cup of Nations.
Expected to feature in his place is Alfred Duncan, who will slot in aside Fiorentina's regular midfield anchor Lucas Torreira.
Looking to provide creativity for the red-hot Vlahovic will be Giacomo Bonaventura, with the midfielder boasting six assists to his name already.
Summer signing Nicolas Gonzalez has endured a stuttering start to life at Fiorentina, netting two goals and picking up a further two assists, with the Argentine international no doubt desperate to kick on in 2022.
Torino possible starting lineup:
Milinkovic-Savic; Djidji, Bremer, Buongiomo; Singo, Lukic, Pobega, Praet; Brekalo, Pjaca, Sanabria
Fiorentina possible starting lineup:
Terracciano; Venuti, Milenkovic, Igor, Terzic; Bonaventura, Torreira, Duncan; Gonzalez, Vlahovic, Sottil
We say: Torino 0-2 Fiorentina
Few sides have impressed in Serie A more than Fiorentina this season, with the Viola starting 2022 a strong bet to challenge for a high league finish.
Taking points against Torino should not be an issue for the visitors, with Fiorentina likely winners in Monday's clash.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
