Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 41%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.