Winterthur

1 - 6

Basel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 54.17%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.