We said: Samsunspor 1-3 Besiktas
While Samsunspor showed they are a different animal on home soil last season, Besiktas have improved their attack over the summer, with the additions of Immobile and Silva giving the 16-time champions extra firepower over most teams, and the pair should flourish on debut on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.