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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Wright (14')
Fernando (26'), Fredy (35'), Vural (61'), Bayrakdar (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Batshuayi (55', 62' pen.)
Aziz (6'), Alioski (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antalyaspor

All competitions
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Antalyaspor
Tuesday, December 27 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Hatayspor
Tuesday, December 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 0-3 Fenerbahce

 Antalyaspor have not resumed their campaign after the World Cup in the best fashion after losing successive matches, and the visit of Fenerbahce is not the ideal game for the hosts to change their fortunes. The Yellow Canaries are embroiled in a three-way title race so need to string successive wins together, and they should be able to comfortably collect all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-0 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawFenerbahce
23.5% (0.199 0.2) 23.19% (0.555 0.56) 53.31% (-0.756 -0.76)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-1.623 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-2.268 -2.27)44.39% (2.265 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-2.235 -2.24)66.76% (2.232 2.23)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-1.073 -1.07)32.83% (1.069 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (-1.211 -1.21)69.39% (1.208 1.21)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (-1.072 -1.07)16.61% (1.069 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.56% (-1.958 -1.96)46.43% (1.955 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 23.5%
    Fenerbahce 53.31%
    Draw 23.18%
AntalyasporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.413 0.41)
2-1 @ 6.07% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.38% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 23.5%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.518 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.6 0.6)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.232 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-3 @ 5.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-4 @ 2.36% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.31%

How you voted: Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahce

Antalyaspor
11.1%
Draw
17.5%
Fenerbahce
71.4%
63
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 4pm
Antalyaspor
1-1
Fenerbahce
Sinik (81')
Sari (71'), Fredy (71'), Kudryashov (90+7')
Sosa (72')
Kadioglu (30')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Antalyaspor
Zajc (89'), Valencia (90+2')
Sangare (62')

Naldo (90+3'), Boffin (90+6')
Mar 4, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
1-1
Antalyaspor
Valencia (83')
Szalai (7'), Cisse (88'), Kadioglu (89'), Pelkas (90+2'), Sosa (90+7')
Fredy (12')
Fredy (21'), Amilton (33'), Sari (38'), Naldo (61'), Orgill (88')
Boffin (90+9')
Nov 2, 2020 5pm
Antalyaspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Podolski (52')
Sari (37'), Orgill (50')
Jahovic (43')
Tufan (49'), Perotti (84' pen.)
Valencia (60'), Gumus (90+7')
Gumus (90+7')
Feb 29, 2020 5pm
Antalyaspor
2-2
Fenerbahce
Amilton (52'), Ozmert (57')
Podolski (63'), Jahovic (90'), Fredy (90'), Ozmert (90'), Celustka (90')
Ozmert (90')
Muriqi (35'), Zajc (90')
Gustavo (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray16142047192844
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1693429171230
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1684431211028
5EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
6BesiktasBesiktas167542518726
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul166552723423
8GaziantepGaziantep166372224-221
9AntalyasporAntalyaspor166372028-821
10KasimpasaKasimpasa164842223-120
11KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor166281625-920
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor164752422219
14SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor164661619-318
16KayserisporKayserispor163671632-1615
17Bodrumspor1642101222-1014
18Hatayspor161691427-139
19Adana Demirspor1622121536-215
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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