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[monks data]
Spain national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 10, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Switzerland national football team

Spain
1 - 0
Switzerland

Oyarzabal (14')
Merino (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schar (30'), Freuler (75')

Preview: Spain vs. Switzerland - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash between Spain and Switzerland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Spain will be looking to make it back-to-back wins in the 2020-21 UEFA Nations League when they continue their League A Group 4 campaign at home to Switzerland on Saturday night.

Luis Enrique's side are currently top of the section with four points to show from their two previous games, while Switzerland sit bottom with just one point from their two fixtures thus far.


Match preview

Spain's Jose Gaya celebrates scoring against Germany in the UEFA Nations League on September 3, 2020© Reuters

Spain started their UEFA Nations League campaign with a 1-1 draw against Germany at the start of September before recording a 4-0 win over Ukraine three days later, which has left them top of the section.

Enrique's side were in action on Wednesday night, meanwhile, drawing 0-0 with Portugal in an international friendly, with the match acting as valuable preparation for their next two fixtures.

It would be fair to say that Spain have had their problems in recent years, but they breezed through their qualification section for next summer's European Championships, winning nine of their 10 matches.

La Roja also now unbeaten in all competitions since losing to Croatia in the 2018-19 edition of this particular tournament, a run which stretches 14 matches.

The 2010 world champions will be determined to put another three points on the board here ahead of their fourth game in the section away to Ukraine on October 13.

Switzerland's Edimilson Fernandes celebrates scoring their second goal with Granit Xhaka and team mates on October 15, 2019© Reuters

Switzerland, meanwhile, started their 2020-21 UEFA Nations League campaign with a 2-1 defeat against Ukraine on September 3 before picking up a point in a 1-1 draw with Germany three days later.

Vladimir Petkovic's side are bottom of Group 4 with one point, but there is no question that they will have been encouraged by their performance against Germany last time out.

Switzerland will enter the match off the back of a 2-1 defeat to Croatia in a friendly on Wednesday, though, and now face successive away games against Spain and Germany.

Nati impressed in the 2018-19 version of the UEFA Nations League, topping a group that included Belgium before losing to eventual winners Portugal in the semi-finals of the competition; Petkovic's side were then beaten by England on penalties in the third-place playoff after a goalless draw.

Spain Nations League form: WWLLDW
Spain form (all competitions): DWWDWD

Switzerland Nations League form: WWLLLD
Switzerland form (all competitions): WWWLDL


Team News

Ansu Fati celebrates scoring for Spain on September 6, 2020© Reuters

Spain boss Enrique will make changes from the side that started against Portugal on Wednesday, with David de Gea, Pau Torres, Jesus Navas and Ansu Fati all in line to return.

A 4-3-3 formation could include both Sergio Busquets and Rodri in the middle of the park, while Gerard Moreno could again get the nod through the middle with Dani Olmo and Fati operating in the wide positions.

Sergio Canales and Dani Ceballos both started against Portugal but could now drop out, while there is no Fabian Ruiz for La Roja as the Napoli midfielder has been unable to travel to Spain due to quarantine rules after a coronavirus outbreak at his Italian club.

As for Switzerland, there is no Renato Steffen or Breel Embolo in the squad, meaning that there will be changes from the side that started their last UEFA Nations League game against Germany.

Steven Zuber and Remo Freuler could both come into the XI, while Haris Seferovic, who is the second highest goalscorer in the squad with 19, is expected to lead the line.

Liverpool's Xherdan Shaqiri was expected to miss out after recently testing positive for coronavirus, but the attacker has now returned a negative result and will travel to Spain.

Manuel Akanji, though, is currently in isolation and will therefore not be involved.

Spain possible starting lineup:
De Gea; Navas, Ramos, Torres, Gaya; Merino, Busquets, Rodri; Fati, Moreno, Olmo

Switzerland possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Widmer, Elvedi, Comert, Rodriguez, Benito; Zuber, Sow, Xhaka, Freuler; Seferovic


SM words green background

We say: Spain 2-1 Switzerland

Switzerland are certainly capable of making it a very uncomfortable evening for Spain, who are still feeling their way into a new era. We are expecting a very tight game on Friday evening but believe that the hosts will just have enough quality to pick up all three points in the Spanish capital.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Switzerland win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash between Spain and Switzerland?

Spain
100%
Draw
0.0%
Switzerland
0.0%
1
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Spain's Jose Gaya celebrates scoring against Germany in the UEFA Nations League on September 3, 2020
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