Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Virtus Entella win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.