Serie B | Gameweek 24

Feb 11, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Libero Liberati

Ternana
1 - 1
Spezia

Distefano (89')
Luperini (7'), Distefano (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Di Serio (90+5')
Cassata (36'), Mateju (49'), Nikolaou (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions

Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Como
Saturday, February 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Catanzaro
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Spezia
41.71% ( 1.45)	26.77% ( 0.36)	31.53% ( -1.81)

Both teams to score 50.74% (

-1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

-1.9)

54.18% (

1.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

-1.61)

75.59% (

1.61)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36% (

-0.1)

25.64% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

-0.13)

60.54% (

0.14)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24% (

-2.17)

31.77% (

2.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.81% (

-2.57)

68.2% (

2.57)

Score Analysis

Ternana 41.7%

Spezia 31.53%

Draw 26.76%

Ternana	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.7%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.53%