Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.