Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pisa in this match.