Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Pescara had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Pescara win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.