Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 44%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.28) 
0.1) 
