Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Alessandria had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Alessandria win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cosenza Calcio would win this match.