Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Bari1 - 1Spezia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Spezia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-0 Bari
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 FeralpiSalo
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 47.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bari | Draw | Spezia |
47.8% ( 1.13) | 27.19% ( -0.43) | 25.01% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 45.57% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.12% ( 1.03) | 58.88% ( -1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.62% ( 0.79) | 79.38% ( -0.79) |
Bari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% ( 1.01) | 24.71% ( -1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.74% ( 1.4) | 59.26% ( -1.4) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.52% ( -0.05) | 39.47% ( 0.05) |