Ascoli

2 - 1

Vicenza

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 45.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Vicenza win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.