Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alessandria win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alessandria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alessandria in this match.