Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crotone would win this match.
