Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Alessandria had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Alessandria win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.