Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Benevento | Draw | Cagliari |
34.42% | 26.16% | 39.41% |
Both teams to score 53.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% | 51.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% | 72.9% |
Benevento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% | 28.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% | 64.02% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% | 25.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.76% | 60.24% |
Score Analysis |
Benevento | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.85% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |