Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.