Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Mirandes
49.63% ( 0.02)	26.74% ( -0.03)	23.63% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.53% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.72% (

0.13)

58.28% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.09% (

0.1)

78.91% (

-0.1)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.4% (

0.06)

23.59% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.33% (

0.09)

57.67% (

-0.09)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.58% (

0.09)

40.42% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.97% (

0.08)

77.03% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 49.63%

Mirandes 23.63%

Draw 26.73%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Mirandes
1-0 @ 13.77% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 49.63%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 23.63%