Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.71%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.