Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Racing Club de Ferrol	Draw	Sporting Gijon
31.23% ( -0.18)	29.31% ( 0.17)	39.46% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 43.42% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.69% (

-0.6)

63.31% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.31% (

-0.43)

82.69% (

0.43)

Racing Club de Ferrol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.19% (

-0.46)

36.81% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.4% (

-0.46)

73.6% (

0.46)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71% (

-0.3)

31.29% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.36% (

-0.35)

67.64% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Racing Club de Ferrol 31.22%

Sporting Gijon 39.46%

Draw 29.3%

Racing Club de Ferrol	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.85% Total : 31.22%	1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.3%	0-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.01% Total : 39.46%