Segunda Division | Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga1 - 0Eibar
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Eibar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tenerife 0-0 Malaga
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Eibar 1-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, October 23 at 6pm in Segunda Division
Wednesday, October 23 at 6pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (12.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Eibar |
37.63% ( 0.09) | 30.85% ( 0.05) | 31.52% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 39.66% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.13% ( -0.15) | 67.87% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.16% ( -0.1) | 85.85% ( 0.1) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( -0.03) | 34.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.43% ( -0.03) | 71.57% ( 0.03) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( -0.19) | 39.14% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.15% ( -0.18) | 75.86% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Malaga 37.62%
Eibar 31.51%
Draw 30.84%
| Malaga | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.62% | 0-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.08) 1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.84% | 0-1 @ 12.78% 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 31.51% |
