Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.