Lugo

1 - 1

Cartagena

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 35.09%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (12.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.