Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 45.18%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.49%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 1-0 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.