Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.