Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova
Cartagena1 - 2Valencia
We said: Cartagena 0-2 Valencia
Whilst the hosts have been in excellent form recently, Valencia's extra quality will likely prove to be too much on this occasion. We are backing a comfortable away victory for the favourites. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Valencia |
| 41.29% | 26.26% | 32.45% |
| Both teams to score 52.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
