Segunda Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 4pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
Burgos0 - 2Castellon
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aurelio (64'), Calatrava Torrado (69')
Moyita (16')
Moyita (16')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Castellon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cordoba 2-2 Burgos
Monday, August 26 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Monday, August 26 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Castellon 0-0 Real Oviedo
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Castellon |
48.33% ( -0.28) | 26.09% ( 0.15) | 25.58% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.13% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% ( -0.49) | 54.51% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.13% ( -0.41) | 75.86% ( 0.41) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( -0.33) | 22.57% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.83% ( -0.5) | 56.17% ( 0.49) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% ( -0.16) | 36.55% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.66% ( -0.17) | 73.34% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Burgos 48.32%
Castellon 25.58%
Draw 26.09%
| Burgos | Draw | Castellon |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 25.58% |
