Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Amorebieta	Draw	Racing de Santander
37.14% ( 0.34)	27.7% ( 0.1)	35.17% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 48.69% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.87% (

-0.38)

57.13% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22% (

-0.3)

78% (

0.3)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

0.02)

29.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

0.02)

65.64% (

-0.02)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17% (

-0.46)

30.83% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.89% (

-0.55)

67.11% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Amorebieta 37.14%

Racing de Santander 35.17%

Draw 27.69%

Amorebieta	Draw	Racing de Santander
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.14%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.17%