Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 41.04%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 28.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.