Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 34.3%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 32.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.87%) and 2-1 (6.24%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (14.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.