Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
