Scottish League One | Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hope CBD Stadium
Hamilton4 - 1Kelty Hearts
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Hamilton Academical and Kelty Hearts.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alloa 0-1 Hamilton
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
69
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-2 Montrose
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
61.39% ( 0.25) | 19.73% ( 0.01) | 18.88% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 61.07% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.51% ( -0.49) | 34.49% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.58% ( -0.55) | 56.42% ( 0.55) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.1% ( -0.08) | 10.89% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.96% ( -0.18) | 35.04% ( 0.18) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( -0.55) | 31.47% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.15% ( -0.65) | 67.85% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical 61.39%
Kelty Hearts 18.88%
Draw 19.73%
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 7.2% 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.97% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.73% | 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.42% Total : 18.88% |
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
