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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
New Douglas Park
Arbroath

Hamilton
1 - 0
Arbroath

Lawson (58' pen.)
Winter (62'), Martin (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Allan (26'), Little (62'), Fosu (65')
O'Brien (56')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arbroath 1-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawArbroath
46.8% (0.27399999999999 0.27) 26.44% (-0.273 -0.27) 26.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.04% (0.779 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.91% (1.009 1.01)55.09% (-1.012 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66% (0.826 0.83)76.34% (-0.828 -0.83)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47% (0.566 0.57)23.52% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43% (0.814 0.81)57.56% (-0.817 -0.82)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (0.54599999999999 0.55)35.87% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36% (0.558 0.56)72.64% (-0.56100000000001 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 46.8%
    Arbroath 26.75%
    Draw 26.43%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 12.21% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 46.8%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.336 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.75%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Hamilton
0-1
Arbroath

Ryan (29'), Spence (60'), Popescu (87')
Hamilton (59')
Hamilton (31'), Hamilton (90+1'), O'Brien (90+3')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Arbroath
2-2
Hamilton
Low (38' pen.), McKenna (90+1' pen.)
Hamilton (56'), Little (87')
O'Reilly (25'), Ryan (45')
Popescu (38')
Spence (90+1')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Hamilton
1-1
Arbroath
Ryan (16' pen.)
Ryan (48'), Hamilton (60'), Mullin (80')
O'Brien (90+1')
Craigen (77')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Arbroath
4-0
Hamilton
Stewart (45+2'), McKenna (57'), Nouble (80'), Low (85')
Henderson (12')

Hamilton (72')
Aug 2, 2014 3pm
Hamilton
2-1
Arbroath
Imrie (3'), Longbridge (69')
Buchan (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk129212581729
2Livingston12651159623
3Ayr UnitedAyr126331811721
4Partick ThistlePartick12543117419
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park125431211119
6Hamilton AcademicalHamilton124351717015
7Raith Rovers124261014-414
8Greenock MortonMorton12246716-910
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline12237913-49
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians12129624-185


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