Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.