Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 16, 2022 at 3pm UK

Ainslie Park Stadium

Edinburgh
1 - 3
Arbroath

Crane (24')
Shanley (30'), Crane (39'), Tapping (42')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Low (39' pen.), Linn (75', 81')
O'Brien (30')

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Edinburgh City and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Edinburgh City

Last Six:

Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Edinburgh (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Dunfermline Athletic	0	0	0
5	Edinburgh City	0	0	0
6	Falkirk	0	0	0

Arbroath

Last Six:

Last Game: Arbroath 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Wednesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arbroath	0	0	0
2	Ayr United	0	0	0
3	Cove Rangers	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Edinburgh City	Draw	Arbroath
20.23% ( -0.02)	25.84% ( -0.01)	53.93% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 43.98% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.81%

58.19% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16%

78.84% (

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.15% (

-0.03)

43.85% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20% (

-0.02)

80% (

0.02)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32% (

0.02)

21.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.18% (

0.02)

54.82% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Edinburgh City 20.23%

Arbroath 53.92%

Draw 25.83%

Edinburgh City	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.23%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 14.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.92%