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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium (Abha)

Abha
2 - 1
Al Khaleej

Kamano (34'), Noguera (90+4')
Al-Jumayah (72'), Noguera (77'), Jaber (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al Salem (78')
Lopez (34'), Narey (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Abha and Al Khaleej, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ahli 5-1 Abha
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-1 Al Ittihad
Thursday, May 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Abha 1-2 Al Khaleej

With Abha scrapping for survival, we expect this contest to be evenly-fought for the most part. However, Al Khaleej could take advantage of the home side's inferior defence at some stage, proving decisive as they look to move into the top half of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Khaleej win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Abha had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Khaleej win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Abha win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
AbhaDrawAl Khaleej
33.95% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 26.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 39.58% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (0.013999999999996 0.01)52.42% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)74.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)29.27% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)65.23% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Al Khaleej Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02)25.96% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (0.028000000000006 0.03)60.97% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Abha 33.95%
    Al Khaleej 39.57%
    Draw 26.47%
AbhaDrawAl Khaleej
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 10.24%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 6.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.57%

How you voted: Abha vs Al Khaleej

Abha
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Al Khaleej
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Al Khaleej
3-1
Abha
Martins (16'), Sherif (45+3'), Rodrigues (59')
Martins (38'), Rodrigues (39'), Rebocho (46'), Al-Haidari (77')
Martins (64')
Sami (80')
Al Kunaydiri (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1110012681830
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal1191129111828
3Al-Nassr1164122101222
4Al ShababAl Shabab11713157822
5Al Quadisiya11713158722
6Al Khaleej116141514119
7Al-AhliAl-Ahli11524159617
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun114341110115
9Al Riyadh114341315-215
10Al RaedAl Raed114251616014
11Damac114251819-114
12Al Ettifaq11335915-612
13Al Orubah113171024-1410
14Al Okhdood112361215-39
15Al WahdaAl Wahda112361527-129
16Al Kholood111461321-87
17Al Fayha11146720-137
18Al Fateh11128820-125


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